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Sentiment is best revealed by how the market reacts to data.
During periods of excess optimism, reactions to "good" data (earnings beats) are muted...reactions to bad data (weak jobs numbers) are outsized.
This week's price action confirms we need to see sentiment cool off.
25.7.2025
S&P 500 - SENTIMENT
Now touching extreme optimism. Would be logical to see the market cool between mid-August and mid-October.
@3F_Research
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