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Auction Context – Market Profile as Your Map
Before you think about placing a trade, you want to know where in the auction cycle the market is.
Market Profile gives you the structure that most traders don’t see when they’re staring at candlesticks.
5 Core Concepts to Track:
1. Value Area High (VAH) / Value Area Low (VAL)
Defines the 70% of the session’s volume where most business was done.
Outside of value = “expensive” or “cheap” to the market participants.
2. Point of Control (POC)
Price with the most activity = a magnet in balance conditions.
3. Main Day Type Recognition (there are others)
3.1 Balanced -> Mean reversion more likely.
3.2Trend Day -> Initiative activity dominates which means profile elongates in one direction.
3.3 Double Distribution → Two distinct value zones; mid-point acts as a pivot.
4. Structural References
Single prints, low-volume nodes (LVNs) and (HVNs), poor highs/lows, unfinished auctions, each can act as magnets or barriers.
5. Why this matters:
Knowing the auction context lets you pre-define where business is likely to occur and where rejections are probable = which stops you from chasing every micro move.
NOW ONTO GAME PLAN:
Auction context feeds into your game plan.
You’re answering the following:
“Am I a buyer, seller, or observer today?”
“Where is my line in the sand?”
Premarket Prep Routine:
- Mark prior session VAH, VAL, POC.
- Mark overnight high/low and see how they relate to prior value.
- Note anomalies (e.g., single prints) that could be filled.
Decide if you’re looking for:
Initiative trades (price driving away from value) ?
Responsive trades (price returning to value) ?
Bias Examples:
Open above VAH + holding → Look for longs if order flow supports continuation.
Open inside prior value → Fade moves to VAH or VAL unless initiative order flow breaks out.
Mindset:
You should be able to write your bias in one sentence before the open. If you can’t, you’re not ready to trade.
Anyway just my 1 cent whilst Im watching a trade develop - cheers
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