$BTC还有很长的路要走,距离顶峰到来还有好几个月的时间。$BTC与全球流动性的关系才是最重要的,如果没有这个,你最喜欢的加密朋友的$BTC周期顶级预测将完全无用、毫无价值和不完整。SMART MONEY 知道这一点 🎯
Crypto Kid
Crypto Kid8月1日 21:06
The chart below represents the M2 Money Supply / BTCUSD correlation with an 84-day delay. You can see that the M2 Money Supply has formed a double top (with a lower high) in late September. The price of bitcoin tops out 525–532 days after the halving in every cycle. What does this mean? In my opinion, bitcoin will continue to follow the direction of M2 in a highly correlated manner. This would mean that BTC's top is only 2 months away. What price will bitcoin top? That I'm not entirely sure of yet. The M2 / BTC correlation can be placed in a plethora of different scales. However, it currently looks like the top will be BELOW $200,000. I hope to be proven wrong, but as of right now, bitcoin is following previous cycles perfectly (excluding the fact that we created a new ATH prior the halving, this was because of ETFs). Given diminishing returns (and assuming that "supercycle" is not reached), $135,000 - $190,000 top in late September makes sense.
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