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Was sind die Risiken des DeFi-Lendings?
Eine schnelle und grobe VaR-Analyse zu @ethena_labs, @aave, @skyecosystem und @multiplifi-Renditen.
Wir glauben nicht, dass jemand Risikomessungen für DeFi-Zinsen veröffentlicht hat.
Hoffentlich ist dies ein Schritt in diese Richtung:
Let’s start with @ethena_labs ($sUSDe)
17-Jun-25 Rate: 3.21%
📉 99% percentile = -1.77%
📉 99% ES = -3.36%
🧠 Fat-tailed, asymmetric distribution
Translation?
There is some risk on the downside if those funding start flipping. Maybe due to huge AUM it's hard to be nimble? The massive upside tails skew the risk profile in your favour. You can see why this is one of the most popular positions in DeFi and they have an exceptional track.

Then there's @multiplifi (xUSDC)
17-Jun-25 Rate: 5.21%
📉 99% percentile = 1.21%
📉 99% ES = 0.05%
@multiplifi seems to have exceptional risk adjusted yield.
Possibly boosted by low fee structure and forfeiture of treasury profits. Smaller AUM of $70m means low slippage: more ops for yield.
@multiplifi seems to have the best statistics we've seen.
Very impressive.

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