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Part II -
Once I have the auction context (the map), the next step is deciding when and how to engage.
Market Profile tells me where business is likely to be done.
Order Flow and Microstructure reveal whether the market is validating those levels in real time.
Why This Matters
Microstructure gives me the trigger for execution.
Without it, I'm trading “blindly off a map / level.”
With it, I can filter noise and only act upon the information when the auction bias is being confirmed in real time.
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5 Core Observations (not the only ones)
1. Liquidity & Absorption
Resting orders absorb: pulls precede breakouts.
2. Exhaustion
Aggression fades, moves stall, auctions fail.
3. Aggression & Delta
Delta reveals buyer vs. seller dominance.
4. Icebergs
Hidden size at key levels acts as support/resistance.
5. Order Book Dynamics
Queue, stacks, and pulls expose short-term intent.
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GAME PLAN:
Session Prep - Pre Trade
Before the session opens, I go through a structured routine to ground every idea in context. Below is a quick summary from a market profile context:
Identify Key Levels (ONH, ONL, VAH/VAL, Composite Highs/Lows):
I mark the overnight auction extremes, the prior day’s value area, and larger composite references. These levels tell me where price has been accepted or rejected, and where I should expect participation to pick up or fade.
Plan Multiple Scenarios (Trend, Range, Fade, Drive):
I map out several potential market structures. If the market sets up for a trend but instead opens in balance, I can immediately switch to a fade mindset. Each scenario has conditions for entry and clear invalidation criteria to keep me disciplined.
Note Volatility, Structure, and Open Type:
I assess whether the open is 'in-range' or 'out-of-range', and whether volatility is expanding or compressed. This frames which setups I’m likely to take, how aggressive I’ll be early on, and what I’ll need to see in order flow to commit.
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KEY QUESTIONS
- Where is the market trading?
- Where has the market come from?
- Where is the market trying to go?
- Is the market behaviour initiative or responsive?
- Is pressure building/compressing or failing?
- Is order flow confirming the auction narrative?
- Is absorption or exhaustion occuring exhibited?
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Sample Playbook I trade (DOM / Order Flow Lens)
1. Initiative Drive
On the DOM/Ladder: Offers lifted, bids stack/refresh to support breakout.
2. Responsive Fade
On the DOM/Ladder: Aggression dries up, price stalls, opposite side reloads.
3. Stop-Run Reversal
On the DOM/Ladder: Stops trigger in a burst, no follow-through, liquidity reloads.
4. Failed Auction Reversal
On the DOM/Ladder: Thin break runs into iceberg absorption, repeated prints stall move.
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Final Note
The chart along with Market Profile provides the map / context.
Order Flow refines execution (not an orderblock wider than my mother in laws letterbox)
Together they align bias with precise timing, creating structured intraday and intraweek trades.
If you've managed to read this far - then thanks.
Not often I type these long form tweets it up but hope it helps.
Cheers

12.8. klo 07.56
Auction Context – Market Profile as Your Map
Before you think about placing a trade, you want to know where in the auction cycle the market is.
Market Profile gives you the structure that most traders don’t see when they’re staring at candlesticks.
5 Core Concepts to Track:
1. Value Area High (VAH) / Value Area Low (VAL)
Defines the 70% of the session’s volume where most business was done.
Outside of value = “expensive” or “cheap” to the market participants.
2. Point of Control (POC)
Price with the most activity = a magnet in balance conditions.
3. Main Day Type Recognition (there are others)
3.1 Balanced -> Mean reversion more likely.
3.2Trend Day -> Initiative activity dominates which means profile elongates in one direction.
3.3 Double Distribution → Two distinct value zones; mid-point acts as a pivot.
4. Structural References
Single prints, low-volume nodes (LVNs) and (HVNs), poor highs/lows, unfinished auctions, each can act as magnets or barriers.
5. Why this matters:
Knowing the auction context lets you pre-define where business is likely to occur and where rejections are probable = which stops you from chasing every micro move.
NOW ONTO GAME PLAN:
Auction context feeds into your game plan.
You’re answering the following:
“Am I a buyer, seller, or observer today?”
“Where is my line in the sand?”
Premarket Prep Routine:
- Mark prior session VAH, VAL, POC.
- Mark overnight high/low and see how they relate to prior value.
- Note anomalies (e.g., single prints) that could be filled.
Decide if you’re looking for:
Initiative trades (price driving away from value) ?
Responsive trades (price returning to value) ?
Bias Examples:
Open above VAH + holding → Look for longs if order flow supports continuation.
Open inside prior value → Fade moves to VAH or VAL unless initiative order flow breaks out.
Mindset:
You should be able to write your bias in one sentence before the open. If you can’t, you’re not ready to trade.
Anyway just my 1 cent whilst Im watching a trade develop - cheers
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