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nikhil
投資者@usv |去配音
「金融家」,「萬能交易所」,以及競爭:
對於大多數消費者來說,聖杯般的金融體驗就是將所有資產和負債集中在一個地方,並能夠通過輕觸按鈕訪問每一項金融服務。
這一願景,即所謂的「金融家」,在歷史上幾乎是不可能實現的,但隨著全球資產的代幣化,這將迅速變得更加可行。
成為「萬能交易所」是一個巨大的機會,但實際上只是「金融家」願景的一個子集。
每一個消費者金融應用(新銀行、經紀公司、預測市場、永續去中心化交易所、迷因幣交易應用等)都在朝著這個北極星邁進。
因此,未來每一個消費者金融應用將在競爭中變得更加有意義,無論他們是否意識到這一點。
當然,這些市場如此龐大,以至於將會有許多贏家和創業公司的空間。
關於競爭的更多信息:
1. 現有平台擁有比劣勢(繁瑣的、拼湊的後端系統來使這一切運作)更多的優勢(分銷、資本)。
2. 擁有訂單流始終是極其強大的。如果你不擁有流量,你將越來越有被去中介化的風險。
3. 擁有非常多樣化流量的基礎設施/協議應該能夠通過流動性網絡效應享有防禦性。

nikhil2025年10月8日
almost every consumer financial app has always been building towards the same long-term goal of being a user's financial home, which includes the core functions of: saving, investing, speculating, paying, credit access
what's changed in the last few years is not the goal but the extent to and pace with which this goal can actually be achieved
1. much more regulatory freedom to pursue this goal in full
2. open products are more easily embedded. Ex: stablecoins for neobanks, Morpho<>Coinbase, Phantom<>Hyperliquid (Kalshi<>Robinhood is only sort of a counterexample)
3. the attackable surface area of what it means to serve a consumer's financial needs has expanded. ex:
- paying: cross-border payments can be serviced very cheaply
- investing & speculating: massive asset/category expansion with long-tail crypto tokens and prediction markets
consumer capital is quite sticky and thus incumbents (Robinhood, Nubank, Revolut, Coinbase, etc) are very advantaged by default
#3 creates opportunity for new players but simultaneously #2 helps existing products realize their northstar product surface faster
all in
1) this is a great setup for consumers and
2) consumer-app fragmentation should be a boon for open protocols
exciting times!
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