In theory, these are indeed risks. However, USDT has always been shorted, but it has never been surpassed. So many institutions want to issue stablecoins, such as VISA or even Alipay WeChat, if they issue stablecoins, they are also very competitive in cross-border trade and micropayment scenarios, but they will not cut into crypto trading. If Circle forcibly wants to cut into areas where it has no advantage, it will naturally hit a stone with an egg. However, there are still many incremental market scenarios for crypto payment, so why only refer to the current capacity for evaluation?
AB Kuai.Dong
AB Kuai.Dong30.6.2025
Good guys, JPMorgan Chase & Co. has issued a bearish rating on Circle across the board, with a price target of 80 u (now 182), with a similar view to the previously mentioned bearish tweet: · Circle is currently heavily reliant on interest single income (97%), and every time the Fed cuts rates, the company's income shrinks significantly. · In order to allow the exchange channel to push USDC, 60-70% of the interest income should be allocated to the partner. · There are more and more stablecoin counterparts trying to seize the market with higher yields or usage scenarios, which will cause a share of USDC. · If the U.S. stablecoin bill is implemented as expected, it will force Circle, like a bank, to increase its own capital and put it on the books, resulting in diluted returns. · In addition to stablecoin counterparts, many income products, such as tokenized market funds, are also Circle's main competitors. At present, JPMorgan Chase & Co. believes that to see whether Circle can become a stablecoin version of Swift, it needs to focus on Circle's progress in serving e-commerce, cross-border payments in Southeast Asia, and making traditional payments such as Visa and Mastercard also rely on USDC. Otherwise, Circle can only be the one among the many ordinary stablecoin issuers that is sensitive to business and has weak price rights due to compliance (which seems to imply compliance with success and compliance, and compliance with defeat and restriction).
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